DoubleLine Minutes

MMM Episode 82: Recession Indicators: Reliability and Readings Now

Bringing back their Topic of the Week, Jeff Mayberry and Samuel Lau review a raft of leading and coincident recession indicators (14:49), weighing their historical track records for predictive accuracy and noting what those gauges are saying now. The ... Read More

MMM Episode 81: A Month of Weaker Stocks, Volatile Bond Yields and a Dominant Dollar

In a survey of market returns for August, Jeff Mayberry and Samuel Lau (3:25) note a decline of 4% on the S&P 500, with energy up 2.6% and utilities up 50 basis points (bps) to diverge from the negative sectors. ... Read More

MMM Episode 80: Was Powell’s Brief Speech Really a Surprise?

DoubleLine’s Samuel Lau and Jeff Mayberry run down the numbers for the red market week of Aug. 22-26, with stocks in particular falling in the wake of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell’s short speech Friday from the Fed’s Jackson ... Read More

MMM Episode 79: A Red Reversal From Last Week

Before diving into the market week of Aug. 15-19, DoubleLine’s Samuel Lau and Jeff Mayberry pause in TV Land to bid farewell to “Better Call Saul” and welcome the return of the Targaryens in “House of the Dragon.” Broad indexes ... Read More

MMM Episode 78: Rallies in Stocks, Bonds, Commodities; Less Than Meets the Eye on the CPI

In their review of the Aug. 8-12 market week, Jeff Mayberry and Samuel Lau observe broad rallies across all 11 sectors of the S&P 500 (2:39); most sectors of the fixed income universe (3:56), with the exception of the ... Read More

MMM Episode 77: Surprising Jobs Strength, Fed Reactions, Market Reflections

Jeff Mayberry and Samuel Lau start their review of the Aug. 1-5 week with a positive if slight 40 basis point return for the S&P 500 (2:15), led by tech, up 2%, while energy stocks fell nearly 7%. Turning to ... Read More

MMM Episode 76: Backing Out of Forward Guidance

After running down healthy market returns and the July 25-29 week’s macro news, DoubleLine’s Sam Lau and Eric Dhall, a trader and quantitative analyst on the firm’s Cross Asset team who is subbing for Jeff Mayberry, review the July Federal ... Read More

MMM Episode 75: A + Week for Stocks, Bonds, Commodities, But More Recessionary Signals

Along with their review of a positive week July 18-22 for the broad stock (1:21), fixed income (6:43) and commodities indexes (7:50), Jeff Mayberry and Samuel Lau look at a variety of indicators that appear to signal rising odds of ... Read More

MMM Episode 74: Commodity Market Indicators and Towering Inflation

After reviewing market returns and the July 11-15 week’s macro news, DoubleLine’s Jeffrey Mayberry and Sam Lau field a question on what indicator is the best predictor of commodity prices going forward (21:08). Jeff and Sam start by reviewing the ... Read More

MMM Episode 73: It Could Go Either Way

DoubleLine’s Jeffrey Mayberry and Samuel Lau shut the door on a rough first half to the year and begin the second half with coverage of the short, pretty crazy week of July 5-8. Following last week’s signals pointing toward recession, ... Read More